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Let’s not get into a CHP leader fight...(III)
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All segments that consider themselves to the left of center have a very interesting ambition. Their ambition, at all cost, is to take down Deniz Baykal from his position and have someone else take his place. Baykal has become the target of this segment. Anytime the CHP does not obtain enough votes they blame Baykal. But they never succeed. Recent changes in the statute have reached the central office.
Recent local elections show that the results for the CHP are not bad after all. It acquired the coastal line and increased its presence in big cities. Smiles appeared on the faces of party members. Despite this, the lobby for changing Baykal has found itself a new candidate: Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.
The 37 percent vote obtained by the candidate for the Istanbul Municipality and his campaign against Topbaş attracted attention. Not only votes but also Kılıçdaroğlu’s general attitude, style in his speeches, his appearance symbolizing modesty and decency made him all of a sudden very popular and started to increase the desire of the Anti-Baykal lobby.
No matter how explicitly Kılıçdaroğlu stated he would not get himself into this struggle, hopes have not ceased completely.
There are general elections in 2011.
Approximately two years from now Turkey will again cast a ballot. And with an injured AKP and an expected increase in unemployment and economic crisis in the future it seems that the AKP will sweat and CHP’s chances increase even more. So then let’s ask ourselves: Would a new chairman crisis in the CHP help the party or inflict a heavy blow?
You might be at a difference of opinion with Baykal. I too object to some of his politics. But during this phase you might guess that CHP entering a leadership struggle and spending all the party’s energy on a congress fight would inflict evil on the party.
Two years will pass in no time. To spend almost half of the precious time during this period for such a useless leadership fight would be equal to betraying Turkey.
If AKP can’t stop decline, it’ll lose general elections
Leave it at that and let’s enter 2011 general elections with Baykal. Kılıçdaroğlu is a young person. When the time comes he will become a leader anyway. The smartest move for the CHP today is to gain momentum as it prepares for general elections.
AKP obtaining 38 percent of the votes, in other words facing a 9 point drop, has created concern in one part of Turkey and obvious relief in another part. Members of the AKP are concerned, others hopeful.
I am one of those who believe that the AKP has not weakened, but only received a warning. This party seems to be declining as a result of the economic crisis and depreciation over six years of administration.
But danger stirs from exactly these two factors. The economic crisis will continue. Even increase in months to come. The general expectation is there will be improvement starting in 2010. In this case, it might be too late for elections in 2011.
Unemployment figures are especially scary and they are expected to get worse. Each unemployed person means one family will be worse off and blame the party in power for it. There, in elections two years from now the biggest threat the AKP will face will not be CHP or MHP but unemployed people resulting from the economic crisis.
Thus, Prime Minister Erdoğan needs to follow extremely striking and influential politics. Only this way will he be able to save himself and his party. Otherwise Erdoğan will have a hard time. With great possibility Turkey will again enter a period of coalition.
Could the prime minister change?
Can Erdoğan be smooth and understanding instead of tense and brisk?
Why not? Maybe a little difficult, nevertheless he must try.
The 37 percent vote obtained by the candidate for the Istanbul Municipality and his campaign against Topbaş attracted attention. Not only votes but also Kılıçdaroğlu’s general attitude, style in his speeches, his appearance symbolizing modesty and decency made him all of a sudden very popular and started to increase the desire of the Anti-Baykal lobby.
No matter how explicitly Kılıçdaroğlu stated he would not get himself into this struggle, hopes have not ceased completely.
There are general elections in 2011.
Approximately two years from now Turkey will again cast a ballot. And with an injured AKP and an expected increase in unemployment and economic crisis in the future it seems that the AKP will sweat and CHP’s chances increase even more. So then let’s ask ourselves: Would a new chairman crisis in the CHP help the party or inflict a heavy blow?
You might be at a difference of opinion with Baykal. I too object to some of his politics. But during this phase you might guess that CHP entering a leadership struggle and spending all the party’s energy on a congress fight would inflict evil on the party.
Two years will pass in no time. To spend almost half of the precious time during this period for such a useless leadership fight would be equal to betraying Turkey.
If AKP can’t stop decline, it’ll lose general elections
Leave it at that and let’s enter 2011 general elections with Baykal. Kılıçdaroğlu is a young person. When the time comes he will become a leader anyway. The smartest move for the CHP today is to gain momentum as it prepares for general elections.
AKP obtaining 38 percent of the votes, in other words facing a 9 point drop, has created concern in one part of Turkey and obvious relief in another part. Members of the AKP are concerned, others hopeful.
I am one of those who believe that the AKP has not weakened, but only received a warning. This party seems to be declining as a result of the economic crisis and depreciation over six years of administration.
But danger stirs from exactly these two factors. The economic crisis will continue. Even increase in months to come. The general expectation is there will be improvement starting in 2010. In this case, it might be too late for elections in 2011.
Unemployment figures are especially scary and they are expected to get worse. Each unemployed person means one family will be worse off and blame the party in power for it. There, in elections two years from now the biggest threat the AKP will face will not be CHP or MHP but unemployed people resulting from the economic crisis.
Thus, Prime Minister Erdoğan needs to follow extremely striking and influential politics. Only this way will he be able to save himself and his party. Otherwise Erdoğan will have a hard time. With great possibility Turkey will again enter a period of coalition.
Could the prime minister change?
Can Erdoğan be smooth and understanding instead of tense and brisk?
Why not? Maybe a little difficult, nevertheless he must try.
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